AFC South Urgent Fable Questions

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Scott Pianowski: Taylor must get into the second one spherical and in all probability deep in the second one spherical earlier than I’ll take him. The Colts are making a song satisfied tunes concerning the fast returns of Wentz and Nelson, however groups haven’t any incentive to let us know the reality. And are we certain Wentz’s profession will also be fastened, anyway? We have been satisfied when he reunited with Frank Reich, however that does not imply the challenge will paintings. And although the Wentz-Nelson puzzle solves itself for Indy, Taylor nonetheless has to percentage touches with Marlon Mack and Nyheim Hines. I had Taylor as a proactive select a month in the past, but if the details exchange, my opinion continuously adjustments. This is a kind of instances.

Dalton Del Don: I first of all downgraded him a couple of spots however am leaning towards shifting him again into my top-five with the new certain information that Wentz and Nelson are trending towards being in a position Week 1. Taylor is among the absolute best backs in soccer, and whilst his state of affairs has query marks, all RBs this 12 months input with causes for fear. I wouldnt hesitate drafting Taylor within the first spherical.

Liz Loza: + Marlon Mack – Carson Wentz – Quenton Nelson does now not = a top-five fable end for Jonathan Taylor. Even if Wentz and Nelson go well with up Week 1, theres no means theyll be 100%. And although Taylors quantity will increase the Colts would for sure be pressured to aggressively run the ball if Wentz is again however hobbled the RBs potency figures to take a next hit.

While Taylors pace and burst permit for superior breakaway runs and plus yardage, its price noting that he averaged 3.0 YPC when dealing with stacked fronts in 2020. I be expecting that defenses will proceed to stack the field almost definitely at a price upper than 22 p.c till Wentz proves hes wholesome. Therefore, Ive moved Taylor to my RB10, who prefer to prioritize Aaron Jones and Austin Ekeler, either one of whom are connected to dynamic offenses.

Tennessee Titans: Should Derrick Henry obtain extra dialogue as the prospective No. 1 select in drafts, or is his receiving ground nonetheless a hindrance?

Andy Behrens: Henry remains to be simplest 27 years outdated, his harm historical past is as blank because it will get and he simply rushed for two,027 yards and 17 rankings. There are not any completely protected fable bets at working again, however you in point of fact have to move trying to find purple flags with Henry. He’s nice. I haven’t any quarrel with any person who desires to make a choice him first general; it is virtually unattainable {that a} wholesome Henry would not end as a top-three again in any scoring layout. I will be able to’t suggest him because the No. 1 select in complete PPR as a result of he is necessarily recognizing CMC one thing like 80 fable issues, in accordance with projected receiving quantity.

Matt Harmon: Henry has conquer the loss of receiving paintings each and every step of the best way all over his profession however its nonetheless an actual fear. If variance simply swings the opposite direction and he isnt a landing behemoth, the loss of a ground would carry down his general inventory. Still, there isnt a lot destructive to mark for Henry. Tennessee swinging the business for Julio Jones did so much to transport the entire offensive needle in a favorable path for this group. That issues a perfect deal for its workhorse again. Im cool with Henry as a top-three variety.

Liz: In an offense that known as the second one maximum working performs (31 in step with recreation) closing 12 months, and with Julio Jones stretching the sphere, Henrys fable output figures to stay elite. Hes clearly now not going to catch a large number of balls in contrast to CMC or Dalvin Cook, either one of whom are ranked forward of Henry however his anomalistic capacity set doesnt require a large goal percentage with a purpose to be elite. Assuming he remains wholesome (hes simplest neglected two video games over his five-year profession, a calf pressure in 2016, and a hamstring factor in 2019) a top-five or higher end is easily inside of succeed in.

HOUSTON, TEXAS - JANUARY 03: Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans watches action during the first half against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on January 03, 2021 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images)

Is Derrick Henry huge workload during the last two seasons explanation why to vanish him in fable drafts? (Photo by way of Carmen Mandato/Getty Images)

Jacksonville Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence has been a mythological determine since he used to be in highschool, and he is strolling right into a Jacksonville state of affairs with some forged guns. How prime is his ceiling in Year 1 and the place would you glance to draft him?

Andy: Lawrence rushed for 17 rankings over his ultimate two collegiate seasons, so he indisputably has a dual-threat part to his recreation and we will believe his new head trainer to position it to make use of. It’s uncommon for a rookie quarterback to make an important fable splash if dashing talent is not a part of the equation. Lawrence additionally has a very good receiving corps at his disposal D.J. Chark, Marvin Jones, LaViska Shenault, Travis Etienne, et al and we should not be expecting hyper-conservative game-plans. It’s hardly ever reckless to forecast 4,000 passing yards and, say, 5 or 6 dashing TDs in a complete 17-game season. If Lawrence hits the ones marks, he is gonna sneak into the top-10 or 12 at his role in all chance. He’s nice, totally licensed for fast use.

Matt: The indisputable fact that Lawrence has actual dashing upside is unattainable to overstate. The indisputable fact that Tom Brady threw 40 touchdowns closing 12 months and didnt even come on the subject of sniffing the top-five fable quarterbacks presentations you the way the most important that part is on this recreation. The Jaguars have additionally completed a excellent process surrounding Lawrence with an underrated staff of skill-position skills. Remember when the closing generational passing prospect, Andrew Luck, needed to throw 100-plus passes to Donnie Avery all over his rookie 12 months? That wont be a fear in Jacksonville with D.J. Chark, Marvin Jones and LaViska Shenault rounding out a forged receiver room. Combine all that with a lot of enjoying from in the back of recreation scripts and I see Lawrence pushing for a minimum of a top-13 fable season. I believe hes in play within the early double-digit rounds.

Dalton: Lawrence is the actual deal, and I right away have him ranked as a back-end QB1 in fable. His talent to run is vital, and it additionally is helping his state of affairs seems favorable as smartly. With DJ Chark, Laviska Shenault, Marvin Jones and Travis Etienne, Lawrence has greater than enough guns at his disposal and will probably be requested to throw a ton. Facing the Texans and Titans defenses 4 instances doesnt harm both. It wont be simple to crack with the contest, however Lawrence has top-five fable QB upside as a rookie.

[2021 Draft Rankings: QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | DST | Kickers]

Houston Texans: Does the prospective quantity/goal percentage make Brandin Cooks an intriguing fable possibility?

Matt: Brandin Cooks is ready to stroll into the wasteland. Hes loved nice to elite quarterback play each and every unmarried 12 months of his NFL profession. You can possibly quarrel with one of the Jared Goff years. That mentioned, Tyrod Taylor is a advantageous replacement-level backup quarterback with Watson’s long term very a lot up within the air who can no less than stay a reliable offense afloat. Unfortunately, the Texans dont have the sort of unit to talk of. Cooks will glance excellent in projection fashions as a result of hes a lock for 120-plus goals given Houstons projected destructive recreation script and the haggard choices after Cooks on this receiver room. At a steep draft bargain, Ill take an overly unenthusiastic plunge.

Dalton: Absolutely. The Texans are going to be enjoying from in the back of and in throwing eventualities the instant they step off the bus this season. The anticipated transfer to Tyrod Taylor is an obtrusive downgrade at QB, however with Will Fuller long past, Cooks must be projected for 130-plus goals. Theres an actual likelihood he sees 150-plus. Given his state of affairs, I’ve Cooks ranked as a top-25 fable WR.

Liz: Volume indisputably seems to be leaning in Cooks prefer. While the 27-year-old doesnt profile as a prototypical No. 1 WR, hes indisputably essentially the most seasoned/gifted/flexible menace at the Texans roster and subsequently in line for some other 8-ish goals in step with recreation. (Fun reality: Last 12 months, after Will Fuller used to be suspended, Cooks averaged 10.25 seems in step with contest during the last 4 video games of the season.)

Cooks is our consensus WR36, making him an intriguing fable worth specifically for a pass-catcher more likely to transparent 80 catches and 1,000 yards.


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